Northern Territory Seasonal Outlook
June 2018; Sourced from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/)
The national outlook for July to September 2018 indicates that:
- Drier than average conditions are more likely across the northern half of the NT.
- In July, drier than average conditions are more likely across the majority of the NT.
- Warmer than averagedays are more likely across the entire NT.
- Warmer than average nights are more likely across the southern two thirds of the NT.
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole are forecast to remain neutral during winter and thus have less influence on Australia's climate.
Higher than average pressures to the south of Australia persist right through the season, resulting in weaker westerlies and fewer cold fronts from the Southern Ocean, and may affect rainfall over central Australia’s winter period.
Chance of exceeding the median max. temp. July to September 2018 (left), Chance of exceeding the median rainfall July to September 2018 (right)
In a typical wet season, pasture growth in the Darwin region tends to be limited by available soil nitrogen rather than soil moisture. Therefore a poor wet season may not generally affect the total quantity of pasture grown on upland country.
- After a good start to the 2017/18 wet season, pasture growth is now similar to last season and to the long-term median
- 50% of the district has been burnt since 1 July 2017 (33% of this since 1 January 2018)
- 77% of the district had a high fire risk as at 1 June 2018
Last updated: 23 July 2018